FOMC Nights and the KOSPI: How 3 AM Fed Decisions Hit Korea’s Open

FOMC decisions land at 3 AM KST (4 AM in US winter), and Seoul is among the first major cash markets to open on the result. Here is how to read Fed funds futures probabilities like a ‘66% priced in’ figure, what the dot plot actually commits the Fed to (nothing), and the three channels — USD/KRW, foreign flows, and the BOK rate gap — that carry the shock into the 9 AM Korean open.

US CPI at 21:30/22:30 KST: How Inflation Nights Move the Next KOSPI Open

US CPI hits at 21:30-22:30 KST, roughly eleven hours before the KOSPI opens. Three channels carry the surprise into Seoul’s 9:00 a.m. session: US index futures and the SOX, the USD/KRW rate, and foreign investor flow direction. Here is how to read each one, with a worked example of reading a multi-session foreign-flow tape from August 2026.